A ra'ayi na haraji da kuma kudade, da kuma ta gaskiya ga canji na tattalin arzikin

A zamani ci gaban ilmin lissafi da tattalin arziki analysis dabaru iya dogara tantance prognostic da fassara model na tsauri matakai da kuma bayyana manufar haraji da kuma fee ga canji na tattalin arziki. Yana da wani hadari na zamani econometrics aka yi amfani a matsayin kayan aiki don taimaka wa ko shanyewa wasu msar tambayar matsayi.

A duniya na tattalin arziki da tunani da aka sa a gaba yawa Concepts alaka haraji da kuma muhimmancin haraji effects, da kuma Bugu da kari na bayyanãwa abin da ya ƙunshi manufar haraji da kuma ta gaskiya a cikin daban-daban model na tattalin arziki. A ajiye tare da neoclassical tattalin arziki ka'idar a cikin 70s. XX karni. Ya ɓullo da ka'idar wadata. Its magoya bayan - kagaggun American masana kimiyya dauki sakamako ga gaskiya Leffera la'akari da haraji cuts zama dole. Wakilai ka'idar tayi gani daga cikin babban Sanadin unpredictable kumbura high haraji rates da m sharuddan biya na haraji da kuma kudade.

Ko a cikin Rasha tattalin arzikin da Yunƙurin a farashin da nasaba da haraji kudi? Don amsa wannan tambaya za ka iya kwatanta a zuciya kai tsaye, kuma nan tsaye ba haraji kudaden shiga a matsayin wasu talakawan haraji kudi yawaita da GDP, ta amfani da tattalin arziki da kuma ilmin lissafi analysis hanyoyin.

A kafa hulda a tsakanin wadannan rates da kuma mabukaci farashin fihirisar (da CPI), shi ya juya daga cewa tasiri kai tsaye a kan hauhawar farashin kaya samar kai tsaye haraji tsakanin su rates da kuma muhimmancin kumbura shi ne kusan babu bata lokaci ba tazara (da mafi hulda coefficient da dama a kan wata-wata zamani). A lokaci guda, da talakawan rabo na kai tsaye ba haraji daga GDP, da tattalin arziki da matsa lamba da aka yawanci canja da manufacturer ga masu amfani da, da alaka kasa a hankali dangantaka da kudi na kumbura.

Wannan halin da ake ciki ya nuna cewa muhimmancin kai tsaye haraji da kuma rates ne muhimmanci sauri tasiri a kan farashin fiye da canje-canje a tsaye ba haraji, amma saboda wasu canje-canje da sosai ra'ayi na haraji da kuma fee. Duk da haka, da kusanci da dangantaka ne ba isasshe high daga gare su. Saboda haka, da karuwa a haraji, da kai tsaye da kuma kai tsaye ba, an kawai partially fara kumbura, muhimmiyar rawa a nan ya ci gaba da wasa a mafi tsada shigo da aka gyara da kuma sauran dukiya dole ga kasa samar da kashi.

Bari mu koma ga muhimmanci matsayin ka'idar dangantakar dake tsakanin bada shawarwari ga tanadi, zuba jari da kuma tattalin arziki slowdown. A rashin tanadi ne ainihin dalilin da alama clotting zuba jari. A duba wannan matsayi ka'idar hulda zai yiwu a kan wani bincike na kusanci da alaka tsakanin talakawan kudi na kai tsaye haraji kudaden shiga da kuma matakin na riba daga sayar da kayayyakin. Matsayin mai mulkin, wannan dogara ne sosai low. A halin da ake ciki shi ne kama da kusanci da dangane da rabo daga kai tsaye ba haraji daga GDP da matakin na riba domin wani qayyadadden lokaci. A nan, wani mummunan darajar ne hankula rabo lura a kishiya gwargwado, Ina nufin da ya fi girma da girman kai tsaye ba haraji, da ƙananan matakin riba.

Irin wannan halin da ake ciki da aka halitta inda gargajiya ra'ayi na haraji tarin da kuma wasu sāke, kuma da haraji nauyi ne ta atomatik wuce a ga mabukaci da gwargwado farashin kumbura a matsayin ƙãra kudin na samar da halin kaka. Wannan na iya nuna wani ƙarin hulda bincike da kuma kusanci da alaka tsakanin matakin na halin kaka da ruble na fitarwa da kuma matakin da haraji kudaden shiga ga GDP ruble.

A takaice, da haraji tasiri a kan yadda ya dace na kasa samar da ya cancanci kulawa ta musamman. Al'ada ya kamata a gane a matsayin haraji tsarin, a ra'ayi na haraji da kuma kudade, domin wanda babu wani cikas, a cikin ingantaccen kasafi na albarkatun.

Duk da haka, wani bincike na cikin halin yanzu jihar na haraji yi ya tabbatar da wadannan:

a) a manyan rawa a cikin ƙarni na kai tsaye ba haraji kumbura ta halin kaka, don haka suppressing samarwa;

b) a negligible sakamako a kan kudaden da kai tsaye haraji yadda ya dace.

Low dogara tsakanin babban macroeconomic Manuniya - haraji rates da kuma babban birnin kasar samu, wanda a ka'ida ake gina duk aka sani haraji model-Western malamai - ba ka damar kusantar da karshe game da ƙayyadaddu na mika mulki tsari a cikin kasar da kuma ineffectiveness na wani yunkurin kai tsaye kwafa da su zuwa ga m tattalin arziki.