Kiyasin hanyoyin

Hanyar samun kira hadaddun, wakiltar wani umurni da ya kafa sauki hanyoyin, wadda aka yi niyya ga ci gaban wani janar Hasashen. Shi ne kuma hanya cewa ya zo daga ilmi daga cikin na kowa alamu da amfani a cimma manufarsu.

Hasashen hanyoyin su ne na musamman sa na dabaru da abin da ake gudanar suna da za'ayi prognostic, kuma retrieves da data aiki a kan gaba.

A nazarin wadannan dabaru da kuma su gidaje da hannu a dace tarbiyya. Kiyasin hanya classified bisa ga takamaiman Categories. Saboda haka, ware burin saitin, tsinkaya, shiryawa, tanadi, da kuma more.

Hanya ci gaba da hasashen da aka dauke su a zabi wani takamaiman sa hanyoyin da kiyasin dabaru.

A tsarin da aka kira wani umurni sa na fasaha kayan aikin, dabaru. Shi ne zartar da hadadden tsarin da mamaki.

M kira Hasashen musamman nau'i na m ko msar tambayar m ga samuwar hasashen. Wannan shi ne daya (ko fiye) a ilmin lissafi, ko ma'ana aiki, da nufin samun wani sakamako.

Hadishi Bazarov (Ore) a 1927 samarwa uku hanyoyin: extrapolation, hikimar tantance model da gwaninta. Yau, akwai game da mutum ɗari biyu da ashirin da matakai. A lokacin da wannan da ake amfani a yi ba fiye da goma daga cikinsu. Daga gare su, musamman, ya kamata a lura gaskiyane (interpolation, extrapolation, Trend analysis), bazawa, na wasan kwaikwayo, citationality-index, matrix da hanyoyin da kiyasin. Aiyuka kuma yin tallan kayan kawa, gina kiyasi, Charts da sauran abubuwa. A musamman wuri ne shagaltar da gwani kiyasin hanyoyin.

Akwai kuma sababbin dabaru. Saboda haka, misali, emit:

1. Na'urar kiyasin hanyoyin. Sun hada da gina komawa (dawo) kai-daidaitawa model da suke iya gani da tsauri da kuma canza Properties jarin a lokacin jerin, shan la'akari da bayanai muhimmancin wannan mambobi a lokacin.

2. Morphological jarrabawa. Ana amfani da unbiased da tsanaki daukan samfur damar hade tare da kiyasin binciken.

3. Retroalternativistiku.

4. The Hanyar samar domin gina "manufofin itace". Wannan dabara da ake amfani da kima na kowa kullum aka gyara.

5. Dirayar Taswirar.

6. The Hanyar dalili da kuma sakamako. Wannan na'urar ne kusa da manufa matsala-Hanyar.

7. Combined forecast. Wannan hanya da ya shafi yin amfani da wasu rungumar kima cewa an samu kan m, ko na yau da kullum da hada raba masu zaman kansu tsinkaya, ta ƙara musu, yawanci tare da wani takamaiman nauyi halaye.

Wannan rarrabuwa da aka dauke su sosai matukar. Wannan shi ne saboda yafi da cewa kusan dukkan kiyasin hanyoyin gaba da juna, da tarayyar intersecting. Alal misali, ko da yaushe kima ƙunshi abubuwa da tallan kayan kawa da kuma extrapolation. A wannan yanayin, da karshen abu mai yiwuwa ba tare da yin tallan kayan kawa da kuma kimantawa aka gyara. Duk da haka, da kwaikwaiyo azurta abubuwa dake dauke da wasu kiyasin hanyoyin.

A cikin bincike na abu shi ne sau da yawa zama dole don gudanar da wani bincike na ba daya amma da dama daga cikin Manuniya. A wannan adadi wanda zai iya hango ko hasashen da taimakon wata hanya, sauran - ta amfani da daban-daban gaba daya. Saboda haka, wanda abu iya amfani sau da yawa.

Akwai kuma hanyoyin kudi kiyasin. Sun hada da kai tsaye da kuma kai tsaye ba hanyoyin. A shiryawa yi, kamar yadda mai mulkin, an yi amfani da duka hanyoyi.